22 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇺🇦Josef Chalupa
ELO 1661
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chalupa
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1635
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Radkovsky covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.