22 Aug · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1635
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Radkovsky
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.