24 Aug · 01:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1583
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Demchenko
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1491
FormWWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Demchenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)