24 Aug · 01:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1642
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Loboda
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 65% (167)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H47-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-36)