24 Aug · 03:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Polysynskyi
ELO 1439
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stepanchuk
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Stepanchuk
ELO 1502
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🌟Stepanchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (95)
Fair odds · Stepanchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H26-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)