23 Aug · 23:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AC
🇺🇦Artem Chepurnyi
ELO 1685
FormWWLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Chepurnyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
71%
29%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 62% (119)
Fair odds · Chepurnyi
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H84-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-57)