24 Aug · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zeniuk
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1621
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H41-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-22)