24 Aug · 03:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1583
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Demchenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
61%
39%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 62% (119)
Fair odds · Demchenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)