24 Aug · 05:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1491
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plakushchyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Plakushchyi stays under total as favourite 64% (55)
Fair odds · Plakushchyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H53-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.