23 Aug · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1515
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hrekh
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🌟Hrekh stays under total as favourite 63% (160)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)