24 Aug · 04:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1583
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Makienko
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Makienko
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Makienko stays under total as favourite 67% (48)
Fair odds · Makienko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.