24 Aug · 04:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1702
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Verbyany
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1621
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)