24 Aug · 05:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kohut
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Kohut rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Kohut
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H28-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.