24 Aug · 04:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1508
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pitsyk
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pitsyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H31-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.