24 Aug · 03:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AC
🇺🇦Artem Chepurnyi
ELO 1685
FormWWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Chepurnyi
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1491
FormWWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Chepurnyi
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H42-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-38)