24 Aug · 01:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmitriy Kim
ELO 1508
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kim
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Stepanchuk
ELO 1502
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kim
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H32-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.