23 Aug · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1583
FormLLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Demchenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Demchenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)