24 Aug · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1789
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H84-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-33)