24 Aug · 00:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1895
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1702
FormWLWLL
69%
31%
🌟Verbyany covers set handicap as underdog 64% (111)
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+193
H2H128-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (128-53)