23 Aug · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1789
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molochko
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H48-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-18)