24 Aug · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1702
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Verbyany covers set handicap as underdog 64% (111)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H29-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.