24 Aug · 02:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1491
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plakushchyi
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Plakushchyi stays under total as favourite 64% (55)
Fair odds · Plakushchyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H35-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-19)