23 Aug · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1895
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Danyliuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1708
FormLLWLW
69%
31%
🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H61-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-16)