23 Aug · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1562
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Masko
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1616
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Masko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H105-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (105-73)