23 Aug · 22:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrekh
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1543
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (112)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.