23 Aug · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1539
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Simchuk
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1450
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
🌟Sveshnykov rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (36)
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)