23 Aug · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ziakun
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1463
FormWWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H104-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-38)