29 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1534
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Makara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 65% (97)
Fair odds · Makara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H39-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.