29 Aug · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shmyndra
MS
🇺🇦Mykyta Smyrnov
ELO 1399
FormLLWWW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Smyrnov🌟Shmyndra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (53)
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)