29 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1362
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chyzh
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1354
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorchuk🌟Chyzh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.