29 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1390
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1392
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Shcherbak rarely covers set handicap as underdog 37% (70)
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.