29 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Voinarovskyi
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1474
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Voinarovskyi stays under total as favourite 64% (45)
Fair odds · Voinarovskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.