29 Aug · 14:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1530
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Blashkun
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1529
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Blashkun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.