29 Aug · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VY
🇺🇦Viacheslav Yarovyi
ELO 1222
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Danylov
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1312
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Danylov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)