29 Aug · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1457
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Semenets
DK
🇺🇦Denys Khavanskyi
ELO 1368
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)