29 Aug · 23:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VL
🇺🇦Valentyn Lobas
ELO 1609
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lobas
MM
🇺🇦Maxim Marchuk
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Lobas
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H35-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-17)