31 Aug · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovalenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kovalenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (87)
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H17-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.