31 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1608
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hubenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1587
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H87-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.