31 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Martyniuk
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1528
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.