31 Aug · 10:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1489
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1490
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H14-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.