31 Aug · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vyskocil
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1535
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (98)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 37% · 2.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.