31 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1600
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pisa
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1587
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heinzl🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (100)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H20-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.