31 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1460
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Puk
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Puk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (26)
Fair odds · Puk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H22-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.