31 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1587
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heinzl
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1581
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (68)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H22-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.