31 Aug · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1456
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1471
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 62% (128)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.