31 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1555
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1581
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Burylov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (81)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.