31 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1600
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pisa
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1581
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (68)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.