31 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1459
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (114)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.