31 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorel
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1443
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bertho🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (114)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H32-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.