31 Aug · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Khalenko🌟Khalenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (82)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.